Global fixed broadband market outlook

The growth projection for global fixed broadband connections is that 1.6 billion broadband connections will increase to 2 billion by 2030, with 550 million additional new connections in fiber, FWA and satellite. Notably, more than a quarter of this increase is expected to stem from legacy modernization as consumers transition from DSL and cable to faster broadband options, resulting in a decline of approximately 150 million DSL and cable connections. The remaining three-quarters are anticipated to come from new connections, fueled by population expansion and initiatives to connect previously unconnected households. There is a projected decline for unconnected households, to roughly 550 million, which represents approximately 25 percent of global households.

FWA capturing over one-third of connections

FWA is projected to account for more than 35 percent of new connections, with an expected increase to 350 million by 2030 as mentioned in the FWA forecast, representing more than double the current connections.

5G FWA plays a crucial role in expanding broadband access, especially in areas where traditional wired infrastructure may be less feasible. 5G FWA offers a rapid deployment advantage compared to other technologies by utilizing existing mobile infrastructure, which already covers 90 percent of the world’s population.

Need for investments

The projected increase in global fixed broadband connections reflects ongoing technological development and investment. As we approach 2030, the mix of fiber, 5G FWA and satellite technologies will be crucial in meeting the connectivity needs of an increasingly digital world. Continued investment and innovation, along with technology-agnostic support from governments and regulators, is essential for ensuring that global infrastructure can support this anticipated demand, while fostering economic growth, closing the digital divide, and improving quality of life. The growth potential extends beyond these numbers, encompassing additional secondary homes and small-to-medium-sized businesses, underscoring the continuous demand for fast and reliable broadband connectivity. By 2030, there will still be opportunities for modernization and to connect the remaining unconnected.