Ericsson Mobility Report

Welcome to Ericsson Mobility Report

In this Ericsson Mobility Report, we continue to describe the evolution towards the Networked Society.

Internet of Things (IoT) is expected to surpass mobile phones as the largest category of connected devices in 2018

Between 2015 and 2021, IoT is expected to increase at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23 percent, making up close to 16 billion of the total forecast 28 billion connected devices by 2021.

LTE subscriptions grew at a high rate during Q1 2016. There were 150 million new subscriptions during the quarter, reaching a total of 1.2 billion worldwide. Subscriptions associated with smartphones also continue to increase, and are expected to exceed those for basic phones in Q3 this year.

We have included four feature articles in this report, exploring various aspects of the mobile industry. First we look into how microwave backhaul links can be used as accurate, high resolution rainfall measurement tools.

Weather impacts almost everything we do, and accurate weather forecasts are vital.

We also examine how teens drive the changing TV/video viewing behavior, which is moving from traditional TVs to streaming video on smartphones.

The article on managing user experience describes how high traffic load in less than a tenth of the mobile radio cells in metropolitan areas can affect more than half of the user activity over the course of 24 hours.

Finally, we discuss the need for global spectrum harmonization to secure early 5G deployments. We hope you find the report engaging and valuable.

Rima Qureshi

Publisher:

Rima Qureshi, Senior Vice President, Chief Strategy Officer

Data and forecasts

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Key figures

Mobile subscription essentials 2014 2015 2021 forecast CAGR 2015–2021 Unit
Worldwide mobile subscriptions 7,100 7,300 9,000 5% million
> Smartphone subscriptions 2,600 3,200 6,300 10% million
> Mobile PC, tablet and mobile router* subscriptions 250 250 300 5% million
> Mobile broadband subscriptions 2,900 3,500 7,700 15% million
> Mobile subscriptions, GSM/EDGE-only 4,000 3,600 1,200 -15% million
> Mobile subscriptions, WCDMA/HSPA 1,900 2,100 3,100 5% million
> Mobile subscriptions, LTE 500 1,100 4,300 25% million
> Mobile subscriptions, 5G     150   million
Traffic essentials** 2014 2015 2021 forecast CAGR 2015–2021 Unit
> Monthly data traffic per smartphone 1.0 1.4 8.9 35% GB/month
> Monthly data traffic per mobile PC 3.9 5.8 20 25% GB/month
> Monthly data traffic per tablet 1.8 2.6 10 25% GB/month
Total monthly mobile data traffic 3.2 5.3 52 45% EB/month
Total monthly fixed data traffic 50 60 150 20% EB/month
Mobile traffic growth forecast Multiplier 2015–2021 CAGR 2015–2021
All mobile data 10 45%
> Smartphones 12 50%
> Mobile PC 2 15%
> Tablets 6 35%
Monthly data traffic per smartphone 2015 2021 Unit
> Western Europe 1.9 18 GB/month
> Central and Eastern Europe 1.4 11 GB/month
> Middle East and Africa 1.0 6.0 GB/month
> Asia Pacific 1.0 6.5 GB/month
> North America 3.7 22 GB/month
> Latin America 1.2 7.0 GB/month

* Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) devices not included

** Active devices